The Treasury Throwdown: When Agentic AI Takes on Macro Turbulence

Accounting | September 11, 2025

The Treasury Throwdown: When Agentic AI Takes on Macro Turbulence

Research indicates that 97% of finance leaders plan to integrate AI within two years, with a particular focus on automating processes, enhancing cash forecasting, and driving smarter decision-making.

By Nick Ezzo, V.P, Auditoria

Treasury has always been a core pillar of financial stability. Yet, today’s treasury teams are navigating an environment defined by extremes that include inflation spikes, aggressive interest rate adjustments, supply chain shocks, and geopolitical volatility. In this high-stakes climate, static spreadsheets and manual cash flow projections fall dangerously short.

According to The Global Treasurer, treasury leaders can no longer afford to ignore AI. Research indicates that 97% of finance leaders plan to integrate AI within two years, with a particular focus on automating processes, enhancing cash forecasting, and driving smarter decision-making.

Faced with rising expectations to deliver real-time insights and help shape enterprise strategy, treasury must evolve from reactive risk mitigation to proactive strategic enablement. And that’s exactly where agentic AI enters the picture.

From historical analysis to continuous intelligence

Traditionally, treasury relied on historical data to inform decisions. Teams reconciled cash positions after the fact, modelled currency or interest rate risk periodically, and managed working capital using rigid assumptions. While this approach may have sufficed during periods of relative stability, today’s environment demands more.

Agentic AI enables treasury teams to move beyond periodic analysis to continuous intelligence. These platforms ingest massive volumes of internal financial data, transactional records, and external market signals in real time. They continuously update forecasts and provide early warning signals for emerging risks.

Rather than relying on outdated snapshots, treasury leaders gain a dynamic, always-current view of their global cash position and exposures. This shift away from static reporting toward real-time, adaptive insights enables treasury teams to respond as quickly as the business demands, if not faster.

Mastering cash forecasting and liquidity

Cash forecasting has long been a pain point for finance. Outdated, manual processes mean forecasts quickly lose relevance, and liquidity buffers end up either too conservative, tying up capital unnecessarily, or too thin, exposing the organization to solvency risk.

Agentic AI fundamentally transforms this process. By learning from historical cash flows, supplier payment behavior, seasonal trends, and even market sentiment, AI predicts short- and long-term cash needs with a precision and speed that manual models simply cannot match.

As highlighted by The Global Treasurer, advanced AI systems enable treasury teams to anticipate liquidity needs, optimize global cash positions, and redeploy working capital more strategically. This allows organizations to unlock funds for growth initiatives, support acquisitions, and new market entry without sacrificing operational resilience.

For global organizations with complex currency exposures, AI adds even more value. It instantly simulates hundreds of interest rate and FX scenarios, recommends optimal hedging strategies, and quantifies potential impacts on liquidity and earnings. Treasury teams move from cautious guesswork to confident, data-backed decision-making.

Turning risk management into an opportunity

Traditionally, treasury’s risk management focus has been defensive: hedge exposures, limit downside, and avoid surprises. While essential, this approach positions treasury primarily as a safeguard, not a value creator.

Agentic AI empowers treasury to turn risk into strategic opportunity. Through continuous scenario analysis, AI helps identify not only vulnerabilities but also arbitrage opportunities, favorable hedging windows, and potential benefits from market movements.

Forward-thinking treasury functions now actively contribute to value creation by advising on capital structure, funding strategies, and working capital optimization. With AI, treasury proposes strategies that align risk management with broader business objectives, including supporting margin expansion, cost reduction, or market differentiation.

Empowering treasury as a strategic command center

The future of treasury isn’t about more reports or faster reconciliations, it’s about establishing treasury as a strategic command center that enables the business to thrive in uncertainty.

Agentic AI supports this shift by providing actionable intelligence at every level. Treasury leaders guide executive discussions on capital deployment, advise on acquisition timing, and inform shareholder communications with confidence. Instead of being the department that “just says no” to risk, treasury becomes a proactive partner in driving growth.

This new role is essential as organizations look to navigate not only macroeconomic turbulence but also longer-term transformations such as digitalization, ESG-linked financing, and supply chain resilience. With AI, treasury is positioned to lead these conversations rather than simply respond to them.

Complementing human expertise

One of the most persistent misconceptions is that AI seeks to replace treasury professionals. In reality, agentic AI is designed to augment expertise by taking on repetitive tasks, processing vast datasets at unprecedently speeds, and surfacing insights that would be impossible to detect manually.

Treasury leaders remain in control, using AI-generated recommendations to inform final decisions. This frees teams to focus on high-value activities such as stakeholder engagement and scenario planning.

In essence, AI handles the heavy lifting, so treasury professionals focus on what they do best: guiding the business forward with context, judgement, and experience.

Becoming future-ready

As global markets remain in flux, agility will define competitive advantage. Central banks will continue recalibrating monetary policy, geopolitical tensions will disrupt supply chains, and new risks, from cyber threats to ESG compliance, will emerge. Organizations that see around corners and act decisively will separate themselves from the pack.

By integrating agentic AI into treasury, organizations are building a finance function that is not just reactive but resilient and forward-looking. Hyper-automation, continuous learning, and predictive scenario modelling become part of daily operations. This approach transforms treasury from a conservative control point into a strategic enabler of growth and innovation.

The message is clear: Ignoring AI is no longer an option for the treasury. Those who act now will be better prepared to convert volatility into competitive advantage and turn uncertainty into a catalyst for strategic change.

Turning challenge into opportunity

Ultimately, the throwdown between treasury and macro turbulence is about more than surviving. With agentic AI, treasury moves from a defensive posture to a leadership position.

Teams empowered with real-time, intelligent insights safeguard the business today while charting a confident course for tomorrow. They protect liquidity, optimize working capital, and help the organization grow sustainably, all while enhancing their role as a trusted strategic partner to the C-suite.

Treasury’s future is not about simply managing cash. It’s about empowering the entire business to move boldly, decisively, and strategically through whatever the market brings next.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR:

Nick Ezzo is Vice President of Strategic Accounts and Market Development for Auditoria. He is a marketing strategist with two decades of tech marketing experience and a passion for improving the lives of finance people.

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